UFC 104 october 24th 2009

At the staplpes center and im not going. im ashamed.

Lyoto Machida OVER Mauricio “Shogun” Rua (no explanation needed although shogun is good enough to push the round into the later rounds and test lyotos reflexes when hes more relaxxed)

Ben Rothwell OVER Cain Velasquez (Velasquez should win by KO. But im betting on Rothwell playing the clinch and ground game and using his size and experience to dominate Cain by Decision. Velasquez is one of the best wrestlers in the division but hes facing rothwell who will have about 3 inches and 25 pounds on him and rothwell has proved that he can deal with a ground game when he beat roy nelson and his black belt jiu jitsu. Cain was able to dominate the larger Kongo, but Kongo sucks.)( not a fight id put too much money on but i like the +220 value on rothwell)

Josh Neer OVER Gleison Tibau (unless Gleison is smart and able to take neer down early and stay on top because neer has proved he cant do much off his back against a good ground game.)

Spencer Fisher OVER Joe Stevenson (fight of the night. Im going with spencer fisher because hes amazing and underrated. He is much stronger and bigger than people give him credit for and even though everything points to stevenson winning- I see it going to Fisher by decision

Anthony Johnson OVER Yoshiyuki Yoshida (Yoshida can pull this off if he is able to clinch and use his incredible advantage in the judo game)

Yushin Okami OVER Chael Sonnen (if i could guarantee a decision in any fight in my life here it is. Split decision. I just dont know who wins. Im going with okami because hes not as prone to submissions and chael hasnt fought since 1942)

Ryan Bader OVER Eric Schafer (Eric Schaefer has been looking really good lately and it wuldnt surprise me if he could pull it out. The only problem is that hes been relying on submissions which means he wants to get in close- the problem is that there lies baders heavy advantage in the wrestling game. Bader has the power and the Inside game- so if red can use his reach to frustrate the less experienced bader then he might have a chance to get on top and work in his game)

tefan Struve OVER Chase Gormley ( hes going to win by height) (yes he will be to tall)

Patrick Barry vs. Antoni Hardonk ( im not choosing this fight. its gonna be a first round KO but its a coin flip and im not betting on it.) (patrick hardonck wins)

Rob Kimmons OVER Jorge Rivera (Rob Kimmons by Submission) ( Rivera is going to need a KO and has the tools to do it. but he wont)

Kyle Kingsbury vs. Razak Al-Hassan ( i know nothing about Razak AL hassan) therefore no guess on this one