Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira OVER Randy Couture +140
Thiago Silva OVER Keith Jardine +110
Chris Leben OVER Jake Rosholt -150
Demian Maia OVER Nate Marquardt +140
Brandon Vera OVER Krzysztof Soszynski -200
Gabriel Gonzaga OVER Chris Tuchscherer -350
Ed Herman OVER Aaron Simpson -135
Michael Russow OVER Justin McCully -260
Tim Hague OVER Todd Duffee +150
Nick Catone OVER Mark Munoz +160
Marcus Aurelio vs. Evan Dunham (no odds)
Friday, August 28, 2009
Friday, August 14, 2009
Jeff Lacy Vs. Roy Jones
Really? i dont know if its worse that im picking this fight or that it is happening.
I dont want to pick either, but there was no money line for Double Loss.
Im going with Jeff Lacy. booo. booooooo. boo.
yes i booed myself.
I dont want to pick either, but there was no money line for Double Loss.
Im going with Jeff Lacy. booo. booooooo. boo.
yes i booed myself.
Strikeforce Carano vs. Cyborg
Id like to start this post by saying that I am going to the event for the sole purpose of watching the Babalu vs. gegard fight and then after gina carano will fight for my love.
Gina Carano vs. Cristiane "Cyborg" Santos - I dont want to but im going with carano- cyborg was heavily criticized for being allowed to fight last time because she came in way heavy. 145 is small for her and shes going to have to cut a lot of weight to make it- this added to it being the first ever 5 round womans fight will cause her to fatigue and im going with a gina carano submission.
Renato "Babalu" Sobral vs. Gegard Mousasi- both of these guys fall in my top 10. If i had to put money on this fight and i had no heart id put it on gegard by KO. Gegard has some of the best hands in the division and babalu has been known to get cocky and try to go toe to toe with people that he shouldnt. Im hoping that babalu puts the pressure on and uses his much better wrestling and creative submissions to use. So i am picking Babalu because i will be at the fight and cant cheer for gegard against babalu.
Gilbert Melendez vs. Mitsuhiro Ishida
Melendez will win. Ishida ended melendez 13 fight win streak melendez will get his revenge here.
Jay Hieron vs. Jesse Taylor
thanks to diaz this fight was made. Hey diaz you want to fight for the belt? no im just going to skip the drug test and let jesse taylor fight heiron. Thanks diaz. asshole. Jay Hieron wins while im in the bathroom puking.
Fabricio Werdum vs. Mike Kyle
Strikeforce really needs Werdum to win this to legitimize their heavyweights that they have lined up for Fedor. So naturally I really want Mike Kyle to win. theres a headline "FEDOR Vs. Mike Kyle" and then strikeforce folds after selling 3 tickets to that show. Lets do it Mike Kyle by KO.
Gina Carano vs. Cristiane "Cyborg" Santos - I dont want to but im going with carano- cyborg was heavily criticized for being allowed to fight last time because she came in way heavy. 145 is small for her and shes going to have to cut a lot of weight to make it- this added to it being the first ever 5 round womans fight will cause her to fatigue and im going with a gina carano submission.
Renato "Babalu" Sobral vs. Gegard Mousasi- both of these guys fall in my top 10. If i had to put money on this fight and i had no heart id put it on gegard by KO. Gegard has some of the best hands in the division and babalu has been known to get cocky and try to go toe to toe with people that he shouldnt. Im hoping that babalu puts the pressure on and uses his much better wrestling and creative submissions to use. So i am picking Babalu because i will be at the fight and cant cheer for gegard against babalu.
Gilbert Melendez vs. Mitsuhiro Ishida
Melendez will win. Ishida ended melendez 13 fight win streak melendez will get his revenge here.
Jay Hieron vs. Jesse Taylor
thanks to diaz this fight was made. Hey diaz you want to fight for the belt? no im just going to skip the drug test and let jesse taylor fight heiron. Thanks diaz. asshole. Jay Hieron wins while im in the bathroom puking.
Fabricio Werdum vs. Mike Kyle
Strikeforce really needs Werdum to win this to legitimize their heavyweights that they have lined up for Fedor. So naturally I really want Mike Kyle to win. theres a headline "FEDOR Vs. Mike Kyle" and then strikeforce folds after selling 3 tickets to that show. Lets do it Mike Kyle by KO.
Saturday, August 8, 2009
UFC 101 update
based on the weigh ins i am changing my pick in the amir vs johny hendricks fight
I had said that amir would be able to neutralize hendricks' wrestling but since hendricks will likely come in 15+ heavier than amir I am going with hendricks.
** i had also incorrectly had danillo villefort losing to jesse lennox in the picks and that has been fixxed to him winning.
final picks for tonight
B.J. Penn
Anderson Silva
Johny Hendricks
Kendall Grove
Josh Neer
Shane Nelson
Tamdan McCrory
Thales Leites
Matt Riddle
George Sotiropoulos
Danillo Villefort
I had said that amir would be able to neutralize hendricks' wrestling but since hendricks will likely come in 15+ heavier than amir I am going with hendricks.
** i had also incorrectly had danillo villefort losing to jesse lennox in the picks and that has been fixxed to him winning.
final picks for tonight
B.J. Penn
Anderson Silva
Johny Hendricks
Kendall Grove
Josh Neer
Shane Nelson
Tamdan McCrory
Thales Leites
Matt Riddle
George Sotiropoulos
Danillo Villefort
Saturday, August 1, 2009
Sengoku 9th battle
Satoru Kitaoka over Mizuto Hirota ( i hate picking these fights because the overhyped +600 guy is hard to pick against even when you dont think hes gonna win as is the case here)
Hatsu Hioki over Masanori Kanehara
Marlon Sandro Over Michihiro Omigawa
Matt Jaggers Over Chan Sung Jung
Kazuhiro Nakamu Over Kazuyo Misaki
Eiji Mitsuoka Over Clay French
Dan Hornbuckle OVER Akihiro Gono (best value on card at +350)
Hatsu Hioki over Masanori Kanehara
Marlon Sandro Over Michihiro Omigawa
Matt Jaggers Over Chan Sung Jung
Kazuhiro Nakamu Over Kazuyo Misaki
Eiji Mitsuoka Over Clay French
Dan Hornbuckle OVER Akihiro Gono (best value on card at +350)
Tuesday, July 28, 2009
UFC 101
B.J. Penn OVER Kenny Florian -230
Since his last loss Kenny has 4 submissions and one TKO. The TKO was against lauson who is a natural 145 pounder. he isnt going to submit BJ and eventhough his best chance would be using his reach in the stand up - BJ is too good in the stand up and even better on the ground. Penns last 4 losses have been to much bigger men - florian isnt a much bigger person and bj is virtually unstoppable at 155. I want florian to win but im putting my lunch money on penn.
Anderson Silva OVER Forrest Griffin -350
Silva is too good. Griffin is much better than he was when he got here but nowhere near good enough to win this fight. Anderson is the most disciplined fighter in the UFC- sticks to his gameplan without worrying how boring the fans think it is. Forrest likes to put on a good show and come in striking. The early part of the first half there will be a feeling out process so this might go to the second, but when forrest thinks he feels comfortable he will attack. and regret it.
Amir Sadollah OVER Johny Hendricks -125
Most even matchup on the card. Hendricks comes in as one of the best wrestlers in the division. His striking isnt as good as Sadollah. He likes to throw the fake jabs and go in for the takedown. Sadollah trains out of team quest which is the number 1 wrestling camp in MMA. so he should be prepared to stuff takedowns and use his striking. Sadollah faces the ring rust issue because he has not been in the ring in over a year. leg infection and broken clavicle kept him out of his last 2 fights- hendricks comes in from the WEC after they cancelled their welterweight division. Sadollah has shown a very active guard which will help him if he does get taken down.
Kendall Grove OVER Ricardo Almeida +135
Kendall has only lost in the UFC by knockout. Almeida has 10 wins and none by knockout. Grove has gone back to train at home with BJ Penn since his last loss and it seems to be working. Almeida has not had a good win since 2004. Kendall Grove is one of the few tall people who know how to use his reach for a serious advantage. If almeida tried to play the ground game its going to be tough against a really long 6'6" grove whose got a decent ehough BJJ game.
Josh Neer OVER Kurt Pellegrino -220
This fight has no chance of going to the ground unless someone gets really tired and tries a lame attempt at pulling guard. In the standup Neer has the size and skill advantage. He has shown a great ability to take a hit with a strong chin. thats it. neer wins.
Shane Nelson OVER Aaron Riley
Shane Nelson is coming on the plane with BJ penn and kendall grove who train together in hawaii. Riley trains out of the world famous Jeff Gordon MMA gym in virginia. Who trains there you ask? Aaron Riley. end of list. Gordon has trainers in the facility that are 7 degree black belts in judo and BJJ. The only problem is that they dont have MMA people. Shane Nelson is less experienced but with 15 fights it wont be too great of a disadvantage. Nelson has a more comfortable stand up game and has the cardio to take it the distance like he seems to always want to do. I pick shane nelson in the most unnecessary rematch in UFC history.
TO BE CONTINUED!!!!!!!!!
Tamdan McCrory OVER John Howard
Thales Leites OVER Alessio Sakara -350 (UFC brings back sakara. why?)
Matt Riddle OVER Dan Cramer
George Sotiropoulos OVER George Roop
Danillo Villefort OVER Jesse Lennox
Since his last loss Kenny has 4 submissions and one TKO. The TKO was against lauson who is a natural 145 pounder. he isnt going to submit BJ and eventhough his best chance would be using his reach in the stand up - BJ is too good in the stand up and even better on the ground. Penns last 4 losses have been to much bigger men - florian isnt a much bigger person and bj is virtually unstoppable at 155. I want florian to win but im putting my lunch money on penn.
Anderson Silva OVER Forrest Griffin -350
Silva is too good. Griffin is much better than he was when he got here but nowhere near good enough to win this fight. Anderson is the most disciplined fighter in the UFC- sticks to his gameplan without worrying how boring the fans think it is. Forrest likes to put on a good show and come in striking. The early part of the first half there will be a feeling out process so this might go to the second, but when forrest thinks he feels comfortable he will attack. and regret it.
Amir Sadollah OVER Johny Hendricks -125
Most even matchup on the card. Hendricks comes in as one of the best wrestlers in the division. His striking isnt as good as Sadollah. He likes to throw the fake jabs and go in for the takedown. Sadollah trains out of team quest which is the number 1 wrestling camp in MMA. so he should be prepared to stuff takedowns and use his striking. Sadollah faces the ring rust issue because he has not been in the ring in over a year. leg infection and broken clavicle kept him out of his last 2 fights- hendricks comes in from the WEC after they cancelled their welterweight division. Sadollah has shown a very active guard which will help him if he does get taken down.
Kendall Grove OVER Ricardo Almeida +135
Kendall has only lost in the UFC by knockout. Almeida has 10 wins and none by knockout. Grove has gone back to train at home with BJ Penn since his last loss and it seems to be working. Almeida has not had a good win since 2004. Kendall Grove is one of the few tall people who know how to use his reach for a serious advantage. If almeida tried to play the ground game its going to be tough against a really long 6'6" grove whose got a decent ehough BJJ game.
Josh Neer OVER Kurt Pellegrino -220
This fight has no chance of going to the ground unless someone gets really tired and tries a lame attempt at pulling guard. In the standup Neer has the size and skill advantage. He has shown a great ability to take a hit with a strong chin. thats it. neer wins.
Shane Nelson OVER Aaron Riley
Shane Nelson is coming on the plane with BJ penn and kendall grove who train together in hawaii. Riley trains out of the world famous Jeff Gordon MMA gym in virginia. Who trains there you ask? Aaron Riley. end of list. Gordon has trainers in the facility that are 7 degree black belts in judo and BJJ. The only problem is that they dont have MMA people. Shane Nelson is less experienced but with 15 fights it wont be too great of a disadvantage. Nelson has a more comfortable stand up game and has the cardio to take it the distance like he seems to always want to do. I pick shane nelson in the most unnecessary rematch in UFC history.
TO BE CONTINUED!!!!!!!!!
Tamdan McCrory OVER John Howard
Thales Leites OVER Alessio Sakara -350 (UFC brings back sakara. why?)
Matt Riddle OVER Dan Cramer
George Sotiropoulos OVER George Roop
Danillo Villefort OVER Jesse Lennox
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